tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8047698153058029905.post6902620801364499794..comments2023-11-14T20:46:49.670-05:00Comments on Anarchy Is Hyperbole: Significant Digits, Chapter Five: A Matter of PerspectiveADhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10211720060888169877noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8047698153058029905.post-50449122999695621302020-06-07T20:43:32.563-04:002020-06-07T20:43:32.563-04:00Nope, you're doing it wrong. I totally underst...Nope, you're doing it wrong. I totally understood Bayes Rule after playing this "Wizard's Guide to Statistics" game http://cassandraxia.com/wizard/<br />chapter 6 is about Bayes Rule.FlozenFramehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10317546394705491685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8047698153058029905.post-51509185418664515302019-06-06T00:04:06.351-04:002019-06-06T00:04:06.351-04:00Maybe I misunderstood, but I think the calculation...Maybe I misunderstood, but I think the calculation Harry did at the beginning was wrong - the probability of 5% should decrease to ~3% after taking into account the 60% chance that he deduced Reg's plan correctly.<br />Instead, you increased it to 7%.Elishamodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05449072246439855588noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8047698153058029905.post-81321862499576258472018-08-26T13:49:51.422-04:002018-08-26T13:49:51.422-04:00The big about Dumbledore killing Harry's pet r...The big about Dumbledore killing Harry's pet rock cracked me up, and your addition did so, again.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15360610182134864446noreply@blogger.com