14 November 2015

Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Nine: Intent





Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Nine: Intent




Dear Mum and Dad,

I’m sorry.  Let me say that straight off.  I know that I promised I’d never let magic come between us, but I was wrong.  I can’t come home.

That’s the bad bit, and I’m so so so sorry.  There’s so much I have to tell you, and so much more I can’t tell you, but I didn’t want you to wonder what the bad news would be as you read this whole letter.  That’s the bad news I needed to tell you, and it hurts me so much to write it.  I love you both.  I love you Mum.  I love you Dad.  I love our house and our life and our trips and everything.  I love you so much.  This has nothing to do with any of that, and you need to know that if I had any choice, any choice at all, I would come home right now.

But I can’t.  And it’s not because of some powerful wizard, and it’s not because it wouldn’t be safe for you.  It’s because it wouldn’t be safe for me.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

SECOND WIZARDING WAR?: HONOURABLE SORTIES DEFEATED; AMYCUS CARROW DEAD; PEACE SUMMIT ANNOUNCED
by Simone Sprout

Open warfare erupted on a global scale yesterday afternoon, as several signatories to the Treaty of Independence and their British allies attacked allies of the Treaty for Health and Life around the world.  The fighting occurred on multiple fronts, including strikes directly on the Ministry of Magic; the Safety Poles of Diagon Alley, Godric’s Hollow, Paris, and Tidewater; the Department of Mysteries’ Remote Cautionary Platform; the Cypriot Hold; and the Alþing of the Council of Westphalia in the Americas.  The attacking forces were comprised variously of forces of the Exarchate of Cappadocia, Magical Russia, the Emirati of the Ether, the Emirati of the Sky, Magical Anatolia, Magical Nakhchivan, and other Sawadi and Caucasian states.  In almost every case, the attacks were turned back through armed intervention by British forces and their allies, with few serious casualties but considerable damage to the Ministry of Magic, the Parisian États-Généraux, and the Remote Cautionary Platform.  While the outcomes of individual events have been difficult to verify, at this time the Ministry of Magic has reported that they have 650 prisoners of war.  Magical Russia has claimed to have taken more than 40 prisoners of war, but the Ministry of Magic disputes this figure.

By the end of yesterday evening, hostilities had ceased.  In most areas, conflicts had already been resolved, but news of a truce offered by the Ministry of Magic brought an end to an ongoing battle in Paris and at the Cypriot Hold.  The truce was refused by the Cappadocian soldiers still attacking in Cyprus, who were eventually subdued by the American Brahmins, but all other states agreed to a cessation of the fighting.

The attacks also included an assault on the Tower by members of the militants known as the Honourable, leading to the violent death of Amycus Carrow, one of the most prominent leaders of the group.  While the assault disrupted healing activities at the John Snow Center, Owen Wilifred, a spokesperson for the Tower, stated that there had been no deaths among patients as a result.  “The Tower is proud to say that even these tragic and unfortunate events did not result in any permanent consequences, thanks to the courage and diligence of our aurors and healers.  We have never lost a patient who was remanded to our care.  We are even proud to say that we were able to save the lives of even the most gravely wounded among those who attacked our Safety Pole facilities around the world.  The Tower will remain devoted to preserving life and health for everyone.”

Carrow was notable for his role as an Honourable spokesperson, frequently representing the group at public debates and meetings, as well as his suspected involvement in the Honourable’s military actions.  While he consistently denied any role in such affairs as the Diagon or Alþing blastbombings, Carrow had previously served as a skilled lieutenant for Lord Voldemort’s Death Eaters, two decades ago -- a role he claims was forced on him by the Imperius Curse -- and was widely believed to be a guiding hand behind the Honourable’s actions.  His reputation was considerable among the group, and he was particularly known for his cunning.  Carrow was by far the most prominent Death Eater to escape the events of Lord Voldemort’s return on June 13th of 1992, avoiding the fate of his compatriots by substituting a death doll with an improvised Dark Mark.

The Tower was unwilling to comment on the assault in detail, saying through their spokesperson that they “didn’t comment on security procedures, as a rule,” but The Prophet has been able to independently discover that Carrow’s attack involved brutalizing and coercing two students into helping him gain access to the facility, employing a series of small blastbombs and an attack by twenty trolls in the process.  Carrow then attempted to assassinate Harry Potter-Evans-Verres, the Dean of the Tower School of Doubt and chief of the John Snow Center for Medicine, but was defeated when he proved unable to control his own Fiendfyre in the face of Potter-Evans-Verres’ defense.  Much of the success experienced by the Life and Health forces throughout the evening may, in fact, have come from the incident; at least one auror was willing to state under condition of anonymity that Carrow survived for a short time after the attack, during which time his Occlumency barriers were down.  This would flatly contravene Tower policy on healing, and was vigorously denied by Tower spokespeople.

As events are ongoing, a later edition of The Prophet will contain updated reports about yesterday’s events and continuing developments.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

April 30th, 1999
On the shores of the lake of teeth, where the black hills end, Tír inna n-Óc

Three figures of shadow stood facing each other, their bodies taut coils of animated darkness.  The weather in Tír inna n-Óc was foul this morning/day/evening/night, and a storm was approaching.  A preamble of thick yellow fog was tonguing the three visitors.  Soon, milks would fall thick and white on the black hills.

The three figures conferred in a dialect of Norman French now entirely extinct.

“You have acted,” said the first figure.  “You sent in our bishop.”

“She did, yes,” affirmed the second figure.

“Events were moving without us,” said the third figure.  “If I had waited even another hour, it would have been too late.  All was ready -- the wolf has done its work.  It was time.”

“You were right to do so, and I would have done no differently,” said the first figure, approvingly.  “I have accused you of haste in the past, but not now.  But I must ask -- by what method will our piece breach the Tower defenses?  All our lore has not succeeded.  Even the Lens has failed.”

“Lens?  The Lens of Kasreyn is sand and dust, broken long ago,” said the third figure, putting shadowy hands on shadowy hips.

“It survives, though it was damaged in the fight when Gellert Grindelwald fell.  But even it cannot see through to the Tower.  That stronghold must draw upon the northern ley that feeds the school, for nothing less could erect such mighty barriers,” said the first figure.

The third figure crossed its arms, and said nothing for a time.  The others waited patiently.  Finally, the third figure spoke again, guardedly.  “The stone might succeed in penetrating their guards -- although perhaps not.  I had not known that the Lens survived and that it too was unable to see within the Tower.  That information would have been helpful.”

All three were quiet and reflective, and stood thoughtfully as the yellow fog rubbed its miasmic muzzle against them.  It was growing thicker and colder as the storm approached.

“Not everything can be shared, even at these times.  There is always some crisis that approaches, looming large in the moment,” said the second figure, after a while.  A peace offering and a scolding, neatly tucked within a few harmless words.

“Regardless,” said the third figure, seemingly resigned, “there are alternate approaches if the stone fails.  Our piece is prepared, and will succeed.”

“In which case, I must note that it may be too late to return to the previous status quo that has existed since the Confederation took charge.  The order of the world is in disarray, and I doubt we could simply return everyone to their row,” said the first figure, moving on.  “I propose we abandon our opposition.  Matters are too far along for any coup or division to stop the consolidation of the magical world.”

“That is a matter for another time, I think, Meldh,” said the second figure mildly.  “It is enough, for now, that we clear away the danger at the Tower’s top.  We shall judge our next move later… after all the stones have stopped their tumbling.”

Tír inna n-Óc endured.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

Lord Draco Malfoy of the Noble and Most Ancient House of Malfoy was blood relation to fifteen families of the Sacred Twenty-Eight, speaker and leader of the Honourable, counselor to the nations of the Treaty of Independence, defender of three millennias of Magical British tradition, and master of both ancient lores and new sciences.  He rejected the Tower’s offer of a Safety Stick for travel, and scorned in sharp language the suggestion that he fly to the peace summit by broomstick.  His dignity would not bear either insult.

Lord Malfoy and his mother traveled by fortress instead.

The Declaration of Intent was dominated by a single tower, three stories high, made of fitted wedge-shaped blocks of smooth tan stone.  Mullioned windows ascended around the tower in a spiral, each featuring a depiction in stained glass of a notable act of a notable Malfoy.  In addition to the tower, there were two broad platforms and a gate of black metal.  All four of these points -- tower, platforms, and gate -- were linked by spikes of thick curtain wall that jutted out into the space beyond, protected by battlements.

The fortress moved slowly and grandly, no more quickly than a learner’s broom, and so it took a full ten hours for The Declaration of Intent to bear the Lord and Lady Malfoy from Malfoy Manor in Wiltshire up to Hogwarts in Scotland.  Lord Abraxus Malfoy, Draco’s grandfather, had not built the structure to speed along like a twittering sparrow.  The Declaration of Intent was built for intimidation and war.

(When he was a boy, Draco’s father, Lucius, had once told his father that the Declaration was a “Muggle-mimicking boondoggle of unspeakable proportions,” and was generally unwilling to even admit that the thing existed, hulking in the distance on their estate and never once used.  The fortress had been built around the Aa-Khem of the Shafiq family: the bronze scarab statues, capable of independent flight, had been purchased from one of the impoverished Shafiq heirs only at staggering expense.  Abraxas had punished Lucius for his insolence, lashing the whipping boy nearly to death, but it must be admitted that the flying fortress had rather severe limitations when it came to combat.)

The Declaration of Intent arrived at Hogwarts early on the morning of the April 30th, gliding high above the Scottish countryside.  The Malfoys hadn’t bothered with any of the complicated and difficult glamours that might have hidden the fortress from sight, and only the diligent work of the exhausted Obliviators and Professor Sinistra’s conjured cloud kept the Muggles from fussing.  The Declaration hung in the air like a black star, Hogwarts far below.

The students of Hogwarts, already disrupted by yesterday’s events, were now further restricted in their movements.  No one was allowed into the North Tower for Divination and Probability, no one was allowed into the greenhouses for Herbology, no one was allowed to play Quidditch or practice flying, and no one was allowed out to the stables or the Forbidden Forest for Care of Magical Creatures.  Some classes were canceled, although this was discouraged since it only meant chasing more gawking children away from windows.

At noon, a hue and cry spread from Gryffindor tower throughout the school as The Declaration of Intent began to move, once again.  Some faculty seized the opportunity for a teachable moment -- the Science Program first-years were required to calculate its velocity -- but all hope of an orderly learning environment ended when the Malfoy fortress gradually descended down onto the Hogwarts grounds.  The Declaration of Intent majestically subsided, moving in a tight spiral, until it settled down on the broad meadow outside the Hufflepuff greenhouses, along the path to Hogsmeade.  It alighted with delicate slowness.  Students from every house shoved and elbowed each other at every window on the south side of the school, fighting for a look.  An enterprising few had thought to bring their Omnioculars, renting them at a sickle a minute.

Only a few minutes later, the toothy black gate jerked and rattled upwards, and a hare that had been trapped inside The Declaration’s new courtyard bolted free.  And Lord Draco Malfoy and Lady Narcissa Malfoy, his mother, emerged.  A small, solemn, and grand retinue followed: Fila Zabini and her son Blaise; Gregory Goyle and his wife Sara; the Lady Gertrude Greengrass and the Lord Teddy Greengrass and their two daughters.  Kingsley Shacklebolt brought up the rear, his head held proudly high and a smile on his face.

The group had only walked for a short time before another group of people became visible below, walking out to meet them: Minister for Magic Carmel N’goma, Chief Warlock and Supreme Mugwump Amelia Bones, Headmistress Minerva McGonagall, Dean of the Science Program Harry Potter, and Hermione Granger.

The Honourable paused as the Government delegation approached, and the two sides faced each other at a distance of a dozen paces.  Words were exchanged, and Lord Malfoy nodded in response, gesturing behind him at The Declaration and then over at several of his companions.  One Slytherin, face glued to his Omnioculars, claimed to be able to read lips; he reported that the Lord Malfoy was making introductions, since several of the visitors had never met each other.

After a time, the two parties joined together into one group, and moved en masse back towards the rear of Hogwarts.  Grumbling children were pulled away from the windows, scolded for being chancers, and directed back to class.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

Harry sat in the discharge ward of the clinic in an unused enclosure, sitting on a cot and waiting.  He heard the quiet murmurs of the healers and aurors, interrupted at long intervals by someone’s rapid steps as a patient was moved.  Somewhere, Draco and his mother and some dozens of eminent persons were meeting and exchanging pleasantries.  Tonks was playing the role of Harry, under instructions to be warm in demeanour but quiet.  They’d make their way through Hogwarts to the Tower gradually, and eventually would enter the Extension Establishment, which was already stuffed with still more figures of worldwide fame and power.  There were representatives from the States, Canada, Russia, China, Korea, New Zealand, Italy, France, Norden, Spain, Germany… the list went on for pages, including a dozen fiddly magical city-states like Nakhchivan (which was, he had found out, within the Muggle state of Azerbaijan).

And at some point in the next hour, hopefully Nymphadora Tonks would find an opportunity and excuse to slip out to the clinic for a few minutes, and let the real Harry get to work.

It would be much more convenient if he could just temporarily change his face.

Harry’s Vow had no sense of degrees to it.  The possibility for action was a binary state: either he could do something, or it might destroy the world and so he couldn’t even consider doing it.  There was some threshold of permission, governed by his own unalloyed best judgment -- he wasn’t held hostage by extremely unlikely possible outcomes -- but there was never any partial obstruction.  He was capable of deciding to create a cubic millimeter of antimatter, since it wouldn’t destroy the world, and probably incapable of creating a cubic meter of antimatter, since it might (even assuming the logistics could be managed).  At some point between the two points, there was a decision point: an amount of antimatter that was just big enough to endanger the world.

It said a great deal about the power of the human mind and the possibilities behind the Unbreakable Vow that Harry couldn’t investigate these things in detail.  It might be interesting to figure out how his brain made the decision about the threshold of acceptable danger, if he could work out how to measure it (would his Vow stop him from pretending to decide to do something dangerous?)

For that matter, there were a lot of good reasons why you might want to have someone take an Unbreakable Vow to improve their rationality -- “I will assess my beliefs with epistemic investigation,” or the like -- but Harry had found himself unable to start that course of research, as well.  That made sense, of course.  It was incredibly dangerous to drastically alter one aspect of any person’s mind, when that person had access to magic.

Unfortunately, it was also dangerous for Harry to alter his own body with transfiguration and the Stone.  He could, and did, regularly check himself over for any new medical problems.  And when he’d found that that he had mild brachial plexus neurapraxia, he’d been able to fix that in just a few minutes (chalking it up to years of stress keeping his shoulders tense).

But changing his face just for an hour’s subterfuge?

It couldn’t be done.  There were accidents when transfiguring, and misjudgments, and all sorts of things that could go wrong.  There’d been times when a healer had needed to spend an hour on a transfiguration that had gone wrong on some deep level -- when the thick-spread magics around the Tower interfered with a delicate moment, or their concentration slipped, or a dozen other things.

So he sat, and waited.

“Oy, Harry,” said Tonks, slipping past the curtain into the little enclosure.  She was already half-changed back to her more typical appearance, shifting slightly in height as she redistributed her flesh.  “You ready?” she asked, as her hair shortened, darkened, and tipped itself with bright turquoise.  Her face was the last to change, giving him an uncomfortable view of exactly what it would look like if he grew breasts, changed his hair, and lost two inches of height.

“Absolutely,” he said, standing up.  He tugged on either side of his robes, to settle them more lightly on his shoulders, and adjusted his ponytail.  It was bound a little more loosely than usual, so that the front would droop just enough to hide some of his scar.  It would be less distracting to some people, a message of prestige to others, and a signal that he knew how to play the game to a select few who were canny enough to understand.

“The Malfoys knew it wasn’t you, but I’m not sure anyone else of that lot noticed,” said Tonks, adjusting her own robes.  “Best assume they’ve communicated, though.  I saw a bucket-load of meaningful stares into each other’s eyes.”

“Anything to report on the walk-through?  How did Minerva handle the intrusion?”  Harry asked.  He fished in his pocket for his left glove, and pulled it on.  It appeared identical to the right glove -- fingerless brown leather -- but the small extensible space on the palm held a different ancient relic of eldritch power than the Stone of Permanence.  Or a fragment of that relic, anyway.  The Cup of Midnight had long since been broken when they’d found its hiding place.

Tonks shrugged.  She reached inside her robes, shoving her arm up to her elbow deep into a small satchel that hung at her side.  “The Lord and Lady Greengrass were a bit smarmy about things, turning up their noses and talking about the reputation of Hogwarts and how it’d gone from being a school to being the government.”

“Not far off,” said Harry, frowning.  “I have sometimes regretted not setting up the new Tower somewhere in the Ministry building.  At the time, I thought it would help avoid any appearance of… influence.”

“Ol’ Kingsley put it right, anyway.  Took McGonagall's arm and said something smooth about how the government could have no better caretaker.  Not that the Headmistress needed the help.  She’s unflappable.  Cannot be flapped.”  Tonks extricated herself from her pocket, retrieving a golden gauntlet in the process.  She pulled it on, working the fingers back and forth until the gleaming piece of armor was comfortably situated.  The gauntlet seemed to have no angles, except for a sharp ridge along the knuckles where the chargers fit.  The fitted pieces of metal moved and slid flawlessly around each other as the witch waggled her fingers.

“Anything else I need to know?”  Tonks shook her head.  “All right, then.  See you out there,” said Harry.  She nodded at him, then returned her attention to her gauntlet, squinting at one of the chargers studding the top.  Harry left her and pushed through the curtain.

Six of the enclosures had their green flags up, so Harry spent a handful more minutes ducking in each and finalizing the healing as quickly as he could.  Only one of the patients -- a man named Ymir, whom Harry vaguely remembered -- had been brought conscious, so there was little need to chat.

Then he was out of excuses and delays and conversations, and so he squared himself off with the door and walked briskly out of the discharge ward, down the hall past the Conjuration Conjunction, and into the Extension Establishment.  Like all of the largest departments, the Establishment was to the rear of the Tower.  They needed the space.  It would be time to reorganize soon, actually… the Advancement Agency and Ypsilanti Yard needed more space, and there was no room to expand near their current position adjacent to the clinic’s special ward.  Although maybe he was being silly, thinking in such limited terms… why not just install some of the first stable pocket worlds here?  There’s no reason for all of them to be put in orbit.

Harry brushed past the pair of aurors at the door of the Establishment, and paused.

There were easily a hundred guests in the room -- diplomats, journalists, and leaders -- packed in the space with half again as many aurors.  They’d moved out every last piece of equipment and scrap of furniture to accommodate everyone, and even so, the room was uncomfortably crowded.  The fact that the crowd had divided itself into factions made things even worse: the Independents and Honourable had segregated themselves in one corner, Hermione was surrounded by all of her Returned in the center of the room, and everyone else had formed a thick-packed horseshoe of murmurs in the rest of the available space.  Five of the aurors had been pressed into service as waitstaff, and were carrying silver trays around the room with studiously neutral expressions, serving drinks brought in from the Conjuration Conjunction, next door.  He could smell mint; they’d cast Fresh-Air Charms to make the cramped quarters more comfortable.

As Harry appeared in the doorway, the conversations all rose in volume for an instant, then died away.  He smiled as pleasantly as he could, and reached to his left, where Norden’s Per Aavik-Söderlundh-Ellingsen was offering his hand and a smile of his own.  “Per, good to see you,” said Harry, with the rote warmth that came easily to him, these days.  “Thank you for coming.”

“You have a third of the Confederation in here,” said Per in his impressively deep voice, plucking at his goatee with his free hand.  “And much good news, I think.  You will wish to speak to the representative of the Court of Rubies, I think.  Perhaps before you make any other deals -- your hand will be stronger.”

We have China?  The possibility was exciting.  China had leather lungs among the Ten Thousand, and if they were signing on to the Treaty for Health and Life, then they’d want to press their advantage and bring in the rest of their neighbors on terms that continued their regional dominance.

“Thank you for the good word, Per,” said Harry.

“We remain as committed as ever, Harry… no light between Britain and Norden, yes?” said the bureaucrat, patting Harry’s shoulder.  Harry smiled and nodded, and moved on.  Another hand was already waiting: someone else eager to pass a bit of advice or a whispered secret or something else that might win them favor.

The Tower was ascendant.

He made his way around the room, moving through the close-packed witches and wizards with slow progress.  Aurors moved through the crowd with him -- Kraeme and Kwannon were on duty for him personally, and he could see them gently push between people to remain close at hand.  He had time to exchange no more than a few words with anyone, shaking each person’s hand and murmuring something blandly pleasant, speaking about his appreciation for their advice or compliment.

Harry did take the time to confer with three people for some minutes, pausing as he reached each of them and taking the time to have a more substantial conversation: Councilor Hig, the visitor from China, and Minister N’Goma.

Hig was all smiles, his delight almost physically palpable.  Harry was fairly sure that he’d walked out of the room having secured ten favours and twenty alliances, particularly since recent events had shown how much influence the Council of Westphalia -- and Hig personally -- wielded with the Tower.  The American had few specific things to say beyond warm congratulations and some cutting comments about Fila Zabini’s formal robes.  Harry couldn’t evade the trap, and said something noncommittal.  Hig’s grin widened, now that Harry had confirmed his suspicions about a body double, and Harry could only keep smiling and move on with a few evasive last words.

He Jin was quiet, and spoke approvingly of the quality of the firewhiskey that an auror had brought him.  He and Harry talked of firewhiskey generally, saying almost nothing pertinent to the current situation.  Harry didn’t know much about the topic, and asked some polite questions about the qualities of superior liquor.  At some point, He Jin mentioned that the Notables had become willing to consider the Tower’s proposal.  Harry nodded and moved on with the conversation, and after some time, he parted from the Chinese with a final expression of gratitude, knowing that the Court of Rubies had agreed to sign the Treaty on the offered terms.  It was a triumph.

N’Goma was a more awkward conversation.  Carmel N’Goma owed her office to him, and she knew it, and he was sure she resented it.  But the proud and insightful politician was always willing to listen to him, and seldom interfered with Percy Weasley, her “aide,” in any significant way.  There wasn’t much cause for complaint, especially when compared to her more antagonistic predecessors, such as Junius Simplewort Smith, but it was still uncomfortable when they spoke.  She discussed He Jin and the progress the Obliviators had made with cleaning up yesterday’s conflicts.  Harry was polite, but moved on as soon as it seemed like he’d given her enough respectful attention.  There were more important people to see.

Hermione met him as he walked towards the Honourable, stepping in alongside him.  Harry nodded to her, and she returned the nod.  The expression on her face was ambiguous -- he wasn’t sure if the twist to her mouth was anxiety or amusement.  Esther walked in Hermione’s wake, golden gauntlet on one hand and a wary look on her face.

The crowd murmured.  Gathered people parted.  Harry stiffened.

Draco.

One hand rested on the silver snake-head of his father’s cane.  His mother held his other arm, her face wearing a fixed smile of obvious falsity.  She was looking elsewhere, pointedly.  Draco, on the other hand, was staring right at Harry.  He looked noble -- or rather like one would hope from nobility, although Harry had found that reality usually fell short.  The head of House Malfoy wore a black Muggle suit with a sharply-colored tie like a vertical slash of serpentine green.  The clothing wasn’t only ironic, but it also served to accentuate his trim athleticism.  He was watching Harry with a smirk on his face.

“If you have seen to your patients, Mr. Potter-Evans-Verres,” said Draco, “shall we speak of recent events?”

The voice brought back a flood of memories.

“Hello.  Hogwarts, too?”

“Father once missed a Wizengamot vote for me. I was on a broom and I fell off and broke a lot of ribs. It really hurt. I'd never hurt that much before and I thought I was going to die. So Father missed this really important vote, because he was there by my bed at St. Mungo's, holding my hands and promising me that I was going to be okay."

"So.  Science. You're going to tell me about blood."

"You call that a warning?  You call that a warning? When we're doing a ritual that calls for a permanent sacrifice? "

“Allies?”  “Allies.”

"I'll help you fix the problem with Slytherin House hating Muggleborns.  And I'll say it was sad that Lily Potter died."

"But let's get one part of it straight.  You wronged me. And you owe me."

"You should die.  You should die for having killed Father."

“If you can give me that, I will do anything.  I will do anything.  I will break the world, if I have to.  But if you fail to hold up your end, I will break you, instead.  Do you understand me, Potter?”

“Granger can’t handle this, Potter.  She can’t cast it.  And she’s killing herself with trying.”

“Harry… no...  Oh, Harry… what will we do?  What can we do?”

“I am the knife.  And it will be a grand thing… to cut.”

Harry blinked rapidly, but could feel tears running down his cheeks, anyway.  That was okay.  Maybe even desirable, he thought distantly.  It would humanize him, and it would be a story, and it really didn’t matter worth a damn anyway since he couldn’t have stopped crying, even if he’d wanted to.

“Yes, Lord Malfoy.  We can speak in the meeting room?” Harry said.  His throat felt like it was closing up with emotion, but his voice sounded weirdly normal.  “We can agree on some basic things, I think, before we are joined by the many people who deserve to speak their piece.”

“Agreed,” said Draco calmly.

Harry stepped back a pace and raised one arm to indicate the door, bowing his head slightly in high style.  It was a dramatic gesture, and put everyone’s eyes on Draco again for a moment, while Harry pulled himself together.

Theatre for the masses.

Draco nodded.  He turned to kiss his mother’s cheek, gave his friend Gregory Goyle his own reassuring nod, and walked towards the door.  Harry and Hermione followed.  Draco’s cane tapped loudly on the stone underfoot as they left, cutting through the renewed whispers of the representatives of the world’s great powers.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

One month ago
Somewhere

Fenrir Greyback was a ruin of scars and blood.  Werewolves must have prey.  The call of the moon induces a blood-madness among the cursed.  If they have no prey, then they worry at their own flesh.

There are ways to mitigate the suffering, of course.

The most brutal method is for the werewolf to simply arrange prey to hunt during the full moon.  The savage wolf will not turn on itself so long as it can savour the richness of human flesh.  In the old times, certain warlords of India were known to indulge themselves in this manner, believing that the lives their beast-selves consumed would perpetuate their own.  More than one legend hints that this was the very origin of lycanthropy, born from the desperate efforts of a mad mage to preserve his youth.

More humane lycanthropes were forced to try to restrain their animal selves, designing and constructing pit traps or bonds that would hold the raging wolf.  While the wolf could tear steel like soft cheese, willing goblins would sell so-called “crinos chains” that were impervious to tooth and muscle.  Unfortunately, this led to an easy way for the wizarding authorities to trace and hunt down the lycanthrope purchaser, so far too many werewolves chose not to run the risk.  Many more innocents were maimed or killed as a result.

The miracles of modern potioneering, however, have allowed the lycanthropes of today to consume the Wolfsbane Potion.  This amazing elixir can’t prevent the change, but it does stop the transformed wolf from being driven into a rage.  For twenty years, werewolves have been able to stop the excesses of their beast-selves.

Soon enough, however, the knowledge of that potion may pass from memory, for there has been a cure for lycanthropy for nearly five years.  The brilliant wizards of the Tower discovered it, and the story passed in whispers from sufferer to sufferer.

Not everyone sought the cure at first, fearing that it was a trick.  Such ploys had been tried before by wizard governments, and those accursed with the greatest hope often paid the greatest price.  But when one friend after another returned, wiped clean of their moon-taint, even the most cynical of lycanthropes let themselves be persuaded to take the trip to the Tower.  They were not disappointed.  Very nearly every one of them had gone.

Not Fenrir Greyback.

Fenrir was a werewolf at war.  He had sworn eternal opposition to the government, to the uncursed, to Muggles, and to anyone and everyone else.  His resentment was as unreasoning and savage as the beast he became each month.

It has been said that no one is ugly from the inside.  But Fenrir had nothing but hatred in him, burning him up like a hot coal of spite.  It burned in his belly and distorted his mind.  Was he insane?  Was he sick?  Was he evil?

Semantics.

Fenrir was a werewolf at war, and let that be enough for now.

There was no end to the war, even now, as he wept with anger and beat at the bars of his cage.  Chains shackled him to the wall, bolted there with spikes of metal as thick as his human wrist.

An elf would come and feed him, sometimes.  He didn’t know how long it was between the meals -- hours? days? -- when the sneering elf in a ragged belt would throw him thick chunks of meat.  And sometimes he would wake up with blood in his mouth.  That was how he kept track of the months.  That was how he knew he was being used.



07 November 2015

Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Eight: Sudden But Inevitable Betrayal





Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Eight: Sudden But Inevitable Betrayal


It is notable that when Grindelwald took power, and when he acquired the services of the Vég Hírnökei, and when he gathered the support of a legion of Muggles, he did it all with kindness, persuasion, and reason.  He flouted the International Statute of Secrecy, he murdered his enemies with a free hand, and he made war upon the leaders of any magical state that refused him: but he did it all with the willing support of his subordinates.  And in this, he was like the lesser shadow that visited the world years later, this time from Britain.  Voldemort, too, found volunteers and ready warriors.  With this in mind, then, perhaps we must ask different questions.  We have spent much time asking, “What was wrong with them?”  But perhaps our question should be: “What is wrong with us?”

Bathilda Bagshot, The Shape of Societies


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

Those of pusaunce and all natures bilis and phlegma and sanguis and melas withall were bound to come by the flames, for Merlin compelled by libation their attendance.  The princeps incantatorum seiden, “My daies grow short.  Come to me here in my seat of power, and obeisaunce rendere.”

Þei came in attendaunce to him and sat before him in the stone towre of his will, and he seiden, “The land of Atlas bore not up, and though they did their will upon all men and now men of will are not one hundredth part of a hundredth part, still there is dome.  I will tell you the shape of it.”

Harry Lowe, The Transmygracioun, passus octavus


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

“Hullo, Lawrence, Annabeth,” Mr. Potter said, nodding to Lawrence and Annabeth.  “And Mr. Carrow, hullo.  It’s nice to see you all.”

Lawrence could see how terrified Annabeth was, and knew he must look about the same.  Her dark brown skin had gone grey, and she stank of acrid sweat and fear.  There was a black scorch mark all along the left side of her Hogwarts robes, and she was trembling.

Carrow, on the other hand, was calm -- even amused.  He had thick clots of black blood caked on him in different spots, that a hasty Scourgify had failed to clean away.  “We thought we’d come visit you, on the direction of Lord and Lady Malfoy, Mr. Potter.”

Harry didn’t reply, but only turned to regard Lawrence.  “You have been gone from school for -- what, a couple of weeks?  How has it been for you?”

Lawrence couldn’t make himself say anything.  He tried, but just choked: his tongue felt too big for his mouth, and his throat was dry.

His life had become a nightmare… a whirlwind series of horrors and subterfuges.  After he and Annabeth were caught, he’d spent a miserable night lying in his bed in the Slytherin dungeons, staring up at the ceiling and torturing himself with regret.  It had almost been a relief when he received a message from a glowering Auror Pirrip, the next morning.  But that relief had curdled almost immediately, as he read about his instructions and the ones he was supposed to pass on to Annabeth.  He was given background information about their “new beliefs,” supporting details about specific phrases to use around others to show his turn of heart (“I never thought I’d say this, but the Honourable are on to something… I can’t believe what I saw in that place”), a packet of “stolen parchments,” and complicated instructions on how he was to proceed with the spying.

He’d been escorted out of Hogwarts by Pip, later that day, and left to his own devices in Diagon Alley.   Once there, he was supposed to go to Whizz Hard Books… but he couldn’t make himself do it without his stomach clenching up like a cramp.  He’d bought a butterbeer at a corner shop, but he couldn’t even drink it: there was something wrong with it and it tasted so sickly sweet that it made him feel even worse.  Before he could screw up the courage to go to Whizz Hard Books and ask Buzzy Lieflat how he could “uphold tradition,” he’d needed to spend fifteen minutes in the public toilet, sitting in a stall and staring blankly at the wall and hoping something would happen to just fix everything.

They’d been very accommodating at Whizz Hard -- Buzzy was a kind man -- and sent him on to Tallow and Hemp in Knockturn.  When he’d gotten there, though, the two fat proprietors pretended not to know what he was talking about.  They wouldn’t help him, but wouldn’t let him leave, either.  “Sit down over there and shut up,” Mr. Enser told him.

Eventually, a scraggly little man had shown up to take him somewhere and cast a million spells he didn’t know, and then someone else showed up to blindfold him, and then he was taken to meet the Malfoys, deadly and elegant, where he’d followed all his memorized instructions and told them all the lies he was supposed to.  And all the while he was terrified. Terrified.  And Mr. Carrow had taken him aside and told him that he was in deeper waters than he knew, and it was a dark and dangerous thing to betray people, and that they owned him now, body and soul, and that if he ever caught even a hint that Lawrence was being anything other than straight with them in his promise to be a double-agent for the Honourable, then Mr. Carrow would see him punished so thoroughly that mothers would shudder and hold their children close when they heard the tale.

And then they hadn’t let him go.  They’d insisted that he give an interview to Sylvia de Kamp, an American journalist, about how much he opposed the Tower and his reasons.  They told him how much he opposed the Tower and what his reasons were.  They’d asked him about the papers and how he got them, and then asked him again, and then again.  They asked him everything he could remember about the Tower and the people.  They asked him about his trick with Annabeth.  They had him write her, and told him what to write.

They were friendly and deadly, kind and killers, always just a heartbeat away from cold anger or warm reassurance.  He whipsawed back and forth and didn’t sleep at night, when he was put into a small room with a cot in the back of one or another dingy shop.  He was so scared all the time that he actually become exhausted with the effort of being terrified for such a long time.

They asked him if a student could get to the Tower.  They asked what it would take to get there.

They started sending Annabeth things.  Carrow had a plan, and was waiting for a chance to do it.  Today might be the day, he would say.  Today might be the day we go in.  You’ll go in.  You’re with us now.  You’ve said things and written things and helped.  You’re Honourable.

How had it been for him?

“It’s been… I don’t know, sir,” he finally managed to say.  “I wish I’d… I wish none of this… I wish…”

He couldn’t say anymore.  A sob came out, instead.

“You wish that you could take it all back.  Go back and fix it.  Make it so that no one got hurt.”

He nodded, and everything went skewed as tears filled his eyes.

“You’re free, though.  Despite what you did to Sammy Meroveni-Bowles.  You should be in Howard Prison, Mr. Bradwian.  But you’re not, and you’ll stay free.  Because there was a time when you came up with a plot that hurt someone very, very badly -- almost killing them.  And it wasn’t just stupid -- and it was stupid to meddle in things you don’t understand, on this level -- but it was wrong.  What you did to that boy was wrong.  You know that, don’t you?”

And Lawrence did know that.  It wasn’t that he’d gotten caught and probably should have just been turned over to the aurors.  It wasn’t even everything he’d been doing up until now -- the long nightmare.  It wasn’t even the fact that he had just helped betray a great man -- the Tower, the greatest healer the world had ever known, who was now at the mercy of Mr. Carrow.

All of those things were terrible, of course.  But… he had done evil.  When he hurt Sammy, he had done an evil thing for stupid ambition and selfish plots.  That was crazy, since evil wasn’t a thing that he did.  He wasn’t the sort of person who did evil.  But at some point during the past weeks, he’d figured it out.  You are your actions.

It was crazy that even though he finally really understood that, he couldn’t articulate, even to himself, just what had changed in his understanding.  He’d done wrong, and someone had suffered.  That was wrong.  But everyone knew that.  You learned that at your mother’s knee and from Beedle the Bard and all that… even from the stories they told of Harry Potter, in fact.  Harry Potter, who was standing in front of a murderous enemy and still taking the time to teach him.

“You battered a boy nearly to death with your actions.  We fixed him, but that’s not something he’ll ever forget.  It’s not something he should ever forget.  Those seconds of confusion, the horror of understanding, and the moment of pain… that’s part of Sammy, now.  Forever.  What do you think about that?  What have you learned?”  Mr. Potter’s voice was soft.

Anything he said would have seemed silly, so he just said the simplest true answer he knew.  He said all of his simple true answers, all in a rush.

“Sammy was hurt because I used him in my plan,” he said, the words tearing out of him, “and I only did that because other people used him in theirs, and he was part of that family, and even if he’d been willing to help, he was still just a boy.  And I’m just a boy, and I can’t really… I don’t know what’s going on, not really.  And until I understood him and everything else, I shouldn’t have tried to change it.  Until I knew what people thought and why.”

“ ‘Theory of mind.’ You’ve acquired an improved theory of mind, Mr. Bradwian.  You got there late, but you have it now.  And some people never do.  Well done.”  Mr. Potter’s voice was cool.  “Human beings come up with different ways of understanding other people’s points of view.  Very young children can’t do it at all.  It’s something that can be tested -- whether or not a child has a theory of other people’s mind.  If you--”  He paused for a moment, then went on.  “You show a young child a Quidditch-ball box filled with Chocolate Frogs, and then close it up.  Then you ask them what a stranger might think was in the box.  The youngest children will say that a stranger would think there were Chocolate Frogs in the box, since they don’t understand that other people’s minds work independently of their own.  They can’t simulate that separation -- that they know something but that someone else wouldn’t know it.  But older children will say that a stranger would think the box had a Snitch and Quaffle and Bludgers inside, since they can guess another person’s point of view.”

Lawrence didn’t understand.  It wasn’t fair to expect him to understand -- not with a wand at his back and the past couple of weeks and the unimaginable terror of today.  He opened his mouth, but he was a blank.  “I… but I knew that.  Before.”

“That wasn’t very clear, was it?” said Mr. Potter, frowning.  He thought for a moment, and Lawrence had time to feel a sense of unreality about the entire situation.  Even though he was here and this was happening, it was insane.  If he’d ever thought he understood the world around him -- this world, this dangerous world of these dangerous people -- standing here in front of Mr. Potter, listening to him give a lesson as calmly as though he were Professor Sprout in the greenhouse, while a former Death Eater stood and patiently waited with a mocking look on his face -- well, that would have ended his belief in a world that made sense.

“Listen, then, Mr. Bradwian,” continued the Tower.

“All too often, older children and adults -- people who pass that test with the Quidditch-ball box -- never move past that point.  They can understand that other people have a perspective, and that it informs their beliefs and behavior, but they can’t move past that single additional level.  They’re trapped in themselves.  When you discuss something with them, they can follow your reasoning and arguments, perhaps even well enough to understand or refute them -- but they can’t simulate your thought process.  At best, they will know what you think and why you think it… but not how you think it.  Or what you’re likely to think next.

“It’s the difference between… well, you know Wizard’s Chess: it’s the difference between thinking about other people as pieces, and thinking of them as other players.  And while that seems obvious, and almost everyone would claim to be that sort of person, they’re usually wrong.  Most people come up with a mental set of rules or checklists that they use to categorize people, rather than actually understand them.  Then they treat people according to their category.”

Mr. Potter shrugged.  “And that works, most of the time and for most things.  It’s an adequate algorithm… but it’s not the best.  You’ve learned -- or started to learn, anyway, since I think you might still be at the stage of learning genuine empathy rather than reflexive empathy -- what it’s like to be a piece in someone else’s game.  The danger there, and the helplessness, and the fear.  And now you can’t ignore how you made Sammy feel.  Now you’re getting an improved theory of mind.”

Lawrence nodded, mutely.  He understood… some of that, anyway.  Mr. Carrow still stood silently behind him, and Lawrence could still feel the tip of a wand in his back.

“And you, Annabeth?  I understand you never left Hogwarts, but they surely didn’t ignore an asset like yourself.  You were passing notes or receiving packages or something, I expect.  Not as dangerous, but still pretty frightening… given the consequences.  What did you learn?  What have you learned about ambition… ‘Silver Slytherin?’ ”

Annabeth was staring down at her feet, weeping.  She was silent and trembling, and couldn’t seem to be able to bring herself to say anything.  Mr. Potter let his question hang in the air for nearly a full minute, until finally seeming to relent.

“You may go, Lawrence and Annabeth,” said Mr. Potter.  “If we see each other again, I hope that I will find that you will have not only kept your lessons close to your heart, but also lent your new wisdom to your House.”

Lawrence didn’t move a muscle until he felt the wand-point leave his back, and even then he only turned his head slightly to look at Mr. Carrow.  Annabeth didn’t dare even that much, transfixed with terror as tears leaked over her cheeks.

Mr. Carrow nodded slowly.  He spoke, low and dangerous and threatening, as though the wand-point had never moved… as though he were talking to a pet that threatened to misbehave.  “Yes, it is time for you both to go.  Say nothing to anyone about what you have seen.  You will regret doing otherwise.”

Lawrence looked back at Mr. Potter, eyes wide.  He tried to send a message with his mind or his face: What should I do?  Do I get help?  There were aurors everywhere.  From the time they left the Receiving Room and entered the Tower through the entrance -- so heavily enchanted that it seemed more real and motionless than anything around it, and guarded by a heavy shield of goblin silver waiting to be locked into place on the inside -- and snuck through the Tower corridors to this room, they’d passed seven or eight aurors and more than twenty other people.

He could do it.

Somewhere in him, Lawrence knew that.  He knew it instinctively, the way you know you’re thirsty.  And even as he thought about it, and stared into Mr. Potter’s eyes, he knew that he could be brave.

“Go,” said Mr. Carrow.  “Now.”

Even now, Lawrence could be brave.  Even after the terror of the past weeks, even after being thrown into a deadly conspiracy of deception and constant threat of death, even after coming to the realization that he’d been a stupid stupid little boy who had played with the lives of others and meddled in things far beyond his ken… even after that, he could be brave.  Maybe because of that.  Courage wasn’t born in ignorance.  Courage was knowing and comprehending the situation and danger, and acting anyway.

I can do it, Mr. Potter.  I can save you.  Let me save you.

I can do it.

“Do as he says, Mr. Bradwian.  You will be tempted to disobey,” said Mr. Potter, and his green eyes were as kind as the warm sea, “but remember your lessons.  Remember the damage that can be done, when you do something on limited information.  It’s a hard thing to learn, but… so important.  And I think…”  Mr. Potter hesitated, and appeared to stop for a moment to consider his words -- maybe to consider whether he should go on.  But he nodded, almost imperceptibly to himself, and said,  “I think that for some people, that sort of thing must be learned the hard way.”

He gave a small, sad smile.  “It’s no crime to reach beyond your grasp, but only if you can see where you’re reaching.”  His voice was distant and soft, but sharpened as he focused back on Lawrence and Annabeth.  “Go now, and say nothing to anyone.  Just go straightaway to bed.  You’ll understand in the morning.”

Lawrence reached out to Annabeth, and took her hand.  She didn’t resist as he pulled her away.  There were people running and shouting in the halls.  One healer grabbed Annabeth’s shoulder for a moment to stop them -- seeing her scorched clothing -- but saw she was uninjured, and sent them on their way.

They didn’t go down to the Slytherin dungeons.  They went to the North Tower instead, and huddled into the alcove just at the bottom of the stairs, and held each other.  They waited for the new day.  After some time, they fell asleep.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

“You shouldn’t be standing here by yourself, even with guards at the door,” said Carrow.  The tall and gaunt man’s tone was amused and harsh at the same time, like a scornful teacher.

Harry raised his eyebrows.  “I needed time to think quietly.  I wanted to think about possible reactions to today’s events.”  Not that it worked, since runners kept showing up and then a trio of intruders.  How did he finally manage this?  

Carrow chuckled.  “Shouldn’t you have spent some time doing that before now… before the evening was half-over, and those events were in motion?”

“Well, I thought my excellent Chief of Security had managed to arrange things so that I could spend a minute alone, sorting out a good narrative,” said Harry, shaking his head ruefully.  “All right, I’m dying to know… how did you get in here?”

“I wore a troll.”

Damn it.  Clever.

And so the stunning effect of the Safety Stick only affected the troll outside, absorbing the effect.  Clever, especially since trolls might even be immune to the effect.  Have we ever tested that?  Surely we have.  Either way, though, he’d be awake and alert in the Receiving Room, able to act.  But he’d still be inside of a troll, even if he wasn’t stunned.  He’d need to get free of the troll, get past the guards and through the door, and pull on an invisibility cloak… all without being seen.  He needn’t worry about the Dark Detectors or chizpurfles, I suppose, thanks to the troll providing plenty of interference and distraction… Still, though, even with a troll and hundreds of incoming casualties of war and all the chaos, that’s a tall order.

He thought for a moment, and Carrow stood silent and waiting, a mocking half-smile on his face.

“And the children got you out of the troll, after the aurors took it down,” Harry said, finally, as one possibility dawned.  It was an obvious possibility and not one they’d overlooked, considering the Tower’s location.  Students were not normally able to find their way to the Receiving Room, for the entrance to the Tower was at the end of a frequently-changing and byzantine series of corridors that snaked throughout Hogwarts.  Even when students needed to visit the Tower, the simplest way remained the Safety Sticks or the Safety Pole in the Great Hall.

But today they’d used student runners, who’d gotten guidance on how to reach the Receiving Room.  Tomorrow it would be different, as the school shifted and moved, but for today, dozens of students knew the way.  

“I suspect you have an invisibility cloak to sneak around and get to me, right?  Something to evade our Anti-Disillusionment Charm, anyway,” said Harry, working through possibilities in his head.

Carrow nodded, patting one side of the vest he wore under his robes.  He reached into another pocket and pulled out a black cylinder that fit comfortably into his hand.  There was a flange on the side, and a metal ring on top.  “And the children brought these to help me get through the Receiving Room.  ‘M84 Stun Grenade,’ from the States.  Strangely easy to acquire.”

“So a troll showed up in the Receiving Room,” said Harry. “And--”

“Ten trolls,” interrupted Carrow.

“So ten trolls showed up in the Receiving Room,” said Harry.  “And while they might ordinarily lock it down for that, today everyone’s prepared for something like a mass werewolf or half-giant attack.  So after they -- what, used the Killing Curse on the trolls? -- they open things back up, that way all the defeated enemies don’t start to accumulate and pose a security risk of their own.  Then… well, I expect Lawrence came back to school today, and he met up with Annabeth, who had probably been getting packages by owl with grenades in them, and they followed a runner or just found out the path from a runner, and they were waiting to throw them…”

He shook his head.  “This was a silly and complicated plan.  Didn’t Draco ever tell you about how many steps any good plan should have?  You needed Annabeth to hide the grenades, Lawrence and her to find their way to the Receiving Room, and then everything depended on them successfully using the grenades.”  He paused.  “Did you paint the trolls different colors, so they’d know which one you were in?”

“Different sorts of armor.  Less suspicious.”  Carrow smiled.  “And not so complicated.  If the children had failed at any step, I had grenades of my own.  I’d cut my way out in a second and throw one, and then be on my way.  The only difficult parts were capturing and restraining ten trolls -- as well as cutting one open and climbing inside before the hole closed.  I already knew my way around.”

“Ah, yes, from the debates,” said Harry.  “Such dedication in Malfoy’s service.”  He thought for another moment.  “But the decision to attack today… that was a surprise to everyone.  I know that my people had plans and ideas, but I decided to move today without any warning.  It’s impossible to put Unbreakable Vows of loyalty on our staff without unacceptable risks, and despite the best efforts of our indefatigable Chief of Security, there are spies.  Even if we didn’t have any turncoats, there are the healers and aurors from other countries who are sent here as price and payment for their states’ being a part of this.”  He rubbed his forehead, frowning.  “In retrospect, that may have been hasty, and I wish someone had said, ‘Stop, let’s do this tomorrow’ when only five people were in the room.”

He shook his head, and eyed Amycus Carrow, spymaster and lieutenant of Draco Malfoy, and a leading figure in the Honourable.  “I thought it was low risk, though… just to spend a moment thinking quietly to myself.”

Carrow looked around the empty corner of the research room, raising his eyebrows.

“I thought this was some last-minute Muggle research… but it’s not.  You’re sorting through action and reaction now… when the evening’s half-done and everything is playing out?” asked Carrow, disapprovingly.

Harry sighed.  “I was trying to work out a plausible story… we need a good series of believable events to explain our crushing success.  It will be suspicious if we win every conflict.  I didn’t actually think it would be that hard, but we need two levels… an easy lie for the masses, and a clever lie for everyone else.”

“No casualties on our side?”  asked Carrow.  He picked a thick lump of congealed blood from one sleeve, and dropped it, disdainfully.

“Some, but nothing we couldn’t handle, according to the healers,” said Harry.  “Last I heard, anyway.  That might have changed, since I understand someone dropped ten trolls and a bunch of grenades into the Receiving Room about ten minutes ago.”

“Couldn’t be helped.  Have to kill off Carrow again, anyway.  And no one was hurt.  Everyone should have been on alert anyway, particularly there and on a day like this,” said Carrow, shrugging gruffly.

“It’s an odd-numbered day, though,” pointed out Harry.  “And rather a lot is going on.  Prisoners and casualties popping in all day, plus the usual number of regular people needing healing.  Almost every reliable person on staff has been working for hours without a break.”

“I got in, Harry.  No matter what day it is or how I did it, I got in.  Remember that.  It can be done.  And if there’s one way it can be done, there are other ways. We need another layer of security.”  Carrow shook his head.  “Bah.  Let’s just decide on the story, so I can get back to Material Methods and check up on how things are going.”

“I actually thought it might be time to offer Draco a truce -- to offer him terms.  To bring the whole thing to an end, finally,” said Harry.  “All right, then, anyway… how did Amycus Carrow die, when he snuck in and attacked me?  We need a properly heroic turn of events.”

“He died from boredom, when you gave him a twenty-minute lecture,” said Carrow.  “Everyone will sympathize.”

Harry grinned.  “Just help me figure it out, will you, Moody?  Or I’ll stick you back in the troll -- or in the body of a troll.”













我兵法を学ばんと思ふ人は、道を行ふ 法あり。
第一に、よこしまなき事を思ふ所
第二に、道の鍛錬する所
第三に、諸芸にさはる所
第四に、諸職の道を知る事
第五に、物毎の損得をわきまゆる事
第六に、諸事目利を仕覚ゆる事
第七に、目に見えぬ所をさとつてしる事
第八に、僅かなる事にも気を付くる事
第九に、役にたたぬ事をせざる事

-五輪書, 宮本 武蔵

This is the Way for men who want to learn my strategy:
First, do not think dishonestly.
Second, the Way is in training.
Third, become acquainted with every art.
Fourth, know the Ways of all professions.
Fifth, distinguish between gain and loss in worldly matters.
Sixth, develop intuitive judgment and understanding for everything.
Seventh, perceive those things which cannot be seen.
Eighth, pay attention even to trifles.
Ninth, do nothing which is of no use.

-The Book of Five Rings, Miyamoto Musashi

03 November 2015

Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Seven: Zero Sum





Significant Digits, Chapter Twenty-Seven: Zero Sum


April 29th, 1999
2:00 pm
John Snow Center for Medicine and Tower School of Doubt (The Tower)

After some deliberation, Hermione had arranged herself in the Material Methods annex that had previously been used for the crowd watching the satellite launch.  She’d been tempted to go to Powis, but it was too inconvenient for everyone else.  Going to Powis would also have meant a risky move of Nikitas Seyhan -- who would be a target today -- to some other location.  Better to let Simon look after Nikitas and the others in secrecy and safety while the rest of the Returned marshalled at the Tower: Tonks, Urg, Hyori, Susie, Esther, and Charlevoix.

Cedric Diggory, Alastor Moody, and their immediate staff joined her and the Returned a half-hour later, and at some point -- midway through sticking personnel lists on the wall with a wad of blue-tac -- she’d suddenly realized that this had become the war room of the Tower and the Government.  They were all prepared with ideas and plans; she, Cedric, and Alastor had spent months and years urging stronger action, even as the Malfoys’ informal organization became the more structured Honourable and eventually began pushing their Treaty of Independence.  Now she, Cedric, and Alastor had thrown themselves into an across-the-board assault on every aspect of the opposition, hoping to move with such speed that a bloodless war could be finished before the enemy even knew it had begun.  Her task of coordinating forty aurors had turned into helping organize everyone in these hours -- before she took the field herself, and left everything in the hands of Cedric and Alastor.  Even with her help, they would have an incredibly complex task.

The war room was a welter of parchments and people, with runners sprinting in and out at irregular intervals.  A massive table, swiftly transfigured into existence, had been joined by stools, chairs, desks, and anything else necessary for the moment.

Aurors had been called to duty from wherever they were with hasty Howlers and Patronus messages, and even a dozen retired aurors had been re-activated.  The Hit Wizard squads were all recalled, the Magical Law Enforcement Patrol was called up, the Witch Watchers were put on alert and restationed, and every other department of the Ministry of Magic and the Tower were notified.  Everyone useful and reliable was being urged into service, in a way not seen since Grindelwald’s War.

Not all we could have wished for, though, Hermione thought, as she mounted an updated list of the missing or unavailable on the wall.  It was sorted by department, and it showed some serious gaps in their forces.  Very nearly all the aurors and Hit Wizards were sorted and on duty, but a third of the Patrol hadn’t answered their summons, and more than half the Witch Watchers weren’t willing or able to report.

“Alastor,” she said, turning around.  “Have you seen this?”  Moody looked up from the enormous table where he was working.  He had a scowl on the face he was wearing, but neither his oft-changing features nor his customary glower could hide his rough-edged pleasure in the situation.

“Yes, I’ve seen it.  Not a bit of it surprising, and only half-complete,” he said.

Half-complete?  It’s been almost an hour, there aren’t going to be many more stragglers.  No, he means only half the work is done.

“You mean Malfoy agents in our ranks,” she said, frowning.  “You’re right.”

Hermione glanced at the other side of the room, where assignments were being sorted out.  “We need three fake stations.  Two obvious, and one subtle.  Susie, Esther, and Ernst,” she said, naming two of her Returned and one of Cedric’s aides.  The two witches and the hirsute young Ernst responded immediately, approaching with movements informed by urgency.  “Get names from Alastor and pick two dummy assignments.  Malfoy Manor and… oh, somewhere else pointless.  Put the most obvious spies or people with weak knees at those places, except for one or two.  Put those one or two on regular assignment at one of the priority locations, but assign someone trustworthy to stick to them, and tell someone else trustworthy about that.”

Glancing over at Alastor, she saw his scowl deepen.  She smiled and held up a chiding finger.  “I’m not done, Alastor!”

Levels and levels.

She turned back to the three assistants.  “Put the rest of the suspicious lot in a third dummy location, and then tell half of them to watch the other half, and then a random third of them to watch the other half watching the first half.  And tell one last one of them that he’s the only trustworthy one, and he needs to catch the rest of them.  Then come up with something stressful for them… I don’t know, see if Luna can spare any of her critters.”

Ernst froze in confusion, but the other two were already in motion again.  Susie dragged Ernst away with them by the sleeve, and began explaining matters to him in a whisper.

“Let’s see Carrow figure that out,” she said, turning back to Alastor.  “Hard to plan a response or your own attack when you don’t know who is your ally, who was a fair-weather friend, and who is taking this opportunity to switch sides.”

He huffed.  “Wouldn’t hold up in a real war -- it would collapse under the weight of all the logistics.  More likely someone will slip up and a real mess will result than that you’d catch some real traitors.”

“Tactics aren’t strategy,” Hermione replied, lightly, turning back to the list of the absent and raising a pencil to make notes.  “It doesn’t need to confuse the enemy for a year, just for a day.”  Despite everything, she was enjoying herself.  If all went well, thousands more lives could be saved.  For that matter, there was a good chance they’d look back on tonight as the night when the entire project of defeating death took a giant step forward.

She turned on her toe with a twirl and stepped over to the table.  “So then, we’ll need response squads.  I’m not so worried about the Honourable, but Harry, Reg, and Amelia are tweaking the nose of every Independent, and Russia was already talking about war.”  Those three and their own team of go-betweens and assistants were managing the unbelievably complicated political fallout from the day’s actions.  There was some danger, of course, but far more opportunity.  Hig was pushing to have the Council officially endorse the Treaty for Health and Life that afternoon, which probably necessitated arranging that Councilor Strongbound and his allies be unavoidably detained for a few hours.  This opened up an opportunity to make threats and promises to other key states around the world.  If everything went well, the American agreement could snowball to a dozen other countries.  After that, they’d be within striking distance of a majority of the Confederation -- and a second try at an International Statute for Health and Life.

She went on.  “The Returned and I will be out the door within the hour, which will leave you and Cedric to coordinate here.”  She gestured over at the handsome Head of the DMLE, who was scribbling parchment notes furiously, handing them to an aide with curt instructions, listening to her all the while. “I thought we’d best do with the four Hit Wizard teams, and then put together an irregular group of some of the aurors -- we’ll ask Cedric who’ll be best, maybe the old Advance Guard, and then whichever squads Reg can send over.  I think he’s calling in the Brahmins and some of the Russell Institute faculty.  You can--”

Alastor held up a hand to still her.  “I won’t be here.  I’ll be out in the field, too.”

You can’t possibly be this vainglorious, Alastor, Hermione thought, as she trailed off.  She raised her eyebrows and gave him a frank look.

“There are things to do, missy,” he said, turning away.  His body was heavy shouldered and bulky, fairly similar to his original body, but he still moved with swift assurance.  His body language was clear: I’m more experienced than you.  And more importantly, I don’t bloody answer to you.

“I hope they’re important things,” she said, and left it at that.  She turned and scanned the room.  “Tonks!  You’re tapped to work with Cedric and coordinate responses!”  Tonks looked over from the corner, where she’d been handing a stack of messages to a runner.  Her hair reddened in surprise.

“Are you sure?  You don’t want me with you, out there?”

Hermione shook her head.  “Not this time.  We need you here.”

Tonks shoved parchments into the runner’s hands and moved to Hermione in a half-run, half-walk.  She took Hermione’s hands in her own.  “When I said I thought I might want to go back to the aurors… you know that--”

“Don’t be stupid,” Hermione said.  She leaned in and pecked Tonks on the cheek.  “I just need a friend here, to keep an eye on Cedric Lockhart and make sure he doesn’t take a break to check his mascara.”

“I can hear you,” said Cedric, irritably.  He frowned for a moment, then returned his attention to scribbling the latest order.

“Break that silver-haired bollocks over your knee,” said Tonks with a grin, and turned back to the table.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

4:00 pm
Tallow and Hemp Toxic Tapers, Knockturn Alley, London

Tallow Enser burst through the shop door like a rampaging bull.  He whirled about and slammed it shut with one big hand, throwing the bolt and bar with the other.  His partner, “Hemp” Lock, stared at him, her chubby face incredulous.  “Wotcher, Tallie!”

“Word’s out on more raids, and the streetses is crawling with reevies!” said Tallow.  He dashed to the shop-window, yanked down the rattling wooden screen to cover it, and pulled out his wand.  “Colloshoo!  Colloportus!”  He turned to the shop door.  “Colloportus!”  Hemp could see that the back and underarms of his robes were soaked with sweat, dark Vs staining the unclean fabric.

“They’ve gotten Bigby and Mord,” said Tallow, whirling around and looking for other possible entrances.  His face was shiny with perspiration, and his bulging eyes were even more protuberant than usual.  “I hear they said they’re sending all they get right to Howie, Wiz-pull or no!”

Hemp stuck her thumb into the hole at the bottom of the till, and the drawer sprang open.  She snatched up a hempen bag from under the counter, and began scooping handfuls of coins into it.  “Right then, we better get the week’s take and meet up somewhere safe.  My uncle’s got a place in Kent, lots of Muggles around.  Good place to lay by for a bit.  We’ll go there.”

Tallow scoffed, dipping his head so he could swipe at his brow with one sleeve.  “You’re barking!  Want to try to dance past half the Patrol!?  There’s aurors out there!  Stick tight and we’ll find someplace to hide here -- we’ll just put up a wall in one corner, they’re not going to Finite every last board.”

“Do what you want, mate,” said Hemp, calmly, as she lashed the bag in her hand shut with a length of twine.  She pulled her wand from her pocket, and touched it to the bag.  “Silencio.”

“Well, you’re not taking the lot, if you’re going!  I was in all Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday, and we haven’t done the split!”  Tallow turned to face her, putting his hands on his hips, indignantly.  His wand was still in his hand, Hemp noticed.  She decided not to put her own away, either.

“No time,” she said.  “I’ll make accounts first thing -- hell, I’ll take a bloody picture, you’ll know just to the Knut what’s your cut.”

“My left gobstone, not bloody likely!” Tallow objected.

“I can’t leave it here, it’ll just get nicked if we’re hiding out or slapped in Howie, Tallie!” said Hemp, her tone rising.

“It’s as good as nicked if you take it!”

“I’m going!”

“You thieving bint!”

“Leggo!”

“My arm!  Getoffit!”

“Fat fool, let me go or I’ll--”

“Ow!  Ow!  Stop!”

“Pbhet me ger!”

“Stop!  Stop, I’m bleeding!”

“Leggo!  Merlin, don’t you wash?  Ugh!”

The aurors must have been quiet when they tried the door, or else the squabbling pair had simply missed the sound of the knob or the Alohomora.  Either way, Tallow and Hemp only noticed they had company when Auror Michael Li blew the door apart with a concussive explosion.  The two corpulent business partners froze in their position on the floor, where they were tangled and fighting over the moneybag.

“Laura Lock and Tallow Enser, you are under arrest for the unlicensed distribution of a controlled substance.  You’ll be coming with us.”

Tallow collapsed flat on the floor, clutching his face with his hands, and burbled something unintelligible.  Hemp rolled away, sighing, and heaved herself to her feet.  “Your bloody fault, Tallie.”

Two other aurors marched inside with Li.  He stood at the door, shaking his head.  “Stop your blubbering, Tallow.  Don’t worry, you’ll have plenty of company.”


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

Very nearly the same time
Office of the Thunderer, Boyar Duma, Moscow, Russia

“--and so it comes to this, Your Excellency,” said Special Envoy of the Wizengamot Alexander Alexandrovitch, drawing himself up to his full considerable height and trying to reveal nothing of his sickening anxiety.  “There is no natural right for the domovoi to subvert the will of Magical Russia, and the gathered nations of the world will not permit it.  Life and Health or Independent, no one can countenance a mob turning the shaft of the cart whichever way they please, no matter what innocents suffer in the meantime.  We will accept nothing less than a fair and independent plebiscite… although let me also assure you that we will abide by its outcome.”

The Thunderer of the Conclave of the Domovoi turned his head and spat into the fire, deliberately and with great feeling.  He answered the message in Russian, though his English was excellent, and his words were thick with anger.  “Нашла́ коса́ на ка́мень.  Теперь… пошел вон.”

Even had Alexandrovitch not been fluent in Russian, the answer would be clear.  As he bowed his way out of the Thunderer’s office, he felt his stomach turn over in distress.  There was a small acid belch rising like a hot bubble of acid in his belly, and he hurried even more so that he might be able to make it out of the building before he vomited.  This was reckless and unwise, and there would be immediate consequences.  The domovoi would be called again, and would vote in favor of a violent response.  Their pride would admit nothing less.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

Simultaneously
The Court of Rubies, Hangzhou, China

It was just after midnight, but none of the assembled Notables had raised a word of complaint.  For while their system of government was modeled in large part on the British Wizengamot and Ministry of Magic -- a cause for considerable complaint in many circles, considering the cultural coercion that many called the cause of British dominance -- their own cultural heritage informed their attitude.  They were serious wizards and witches, educated and experienced and ambitious, and time had no meaning in the pursuit of duty.

The formal request had been phrased in the most courteous but urgent language that Supreme Mugwump Bones could devise, and had been delivered to He Jin by her personal Patronus.  He had considered the implications of her urgency and the irregularity of the request for a meeting of the Court at this hour.  The conclusions he might draw are his own affair, however, since He Jin kept his own counsel on the matter as he took the necessary steps to summon the other Notables.

They all sat in respectful silence as they listened to the Special Envoy from the Wizengamot.  Sunny Chow was someone they all knew well, since she was very diligent and had often lunched with them individually to discuss issues of the day.  She spoke at considerable length, making a plain case for her government and for the Tower’s proposal.  They wanted to be fair, she said.  They had word that the Council of Westphalia had endorsed the Treaty for Health and Life.  They had agreed with the Council on special and generous entrance terms for the American states that acted on this endorsement, and wished to extend the same offer to other states.  This would only be a temporary circumstance, however.

Chow began to lay out anew the case for the Treaty -- the end of illness and disability, the promise of immortality, the possibility of new wealth from their arithmancers, and other benefits.  After some time, He Jin rose from his seat among the Notables, and Chow fell respectfully silent.  He Jin didn’t think they needed to hear the same arguments for the hundredth time, although he only offered his polite thanks for her efforts and grace.  He said that they appreciated her elegant words in service of a good cause, and had nothing but the deepest regret that they could not accommodate her.  Nothing had changed, he said, for they still could not submit to a program that shipped their people across the world and brought them back changed in profound ways.  For all the benefits, he said, she must understand that they had been taught to be cautious of such things.  This was not something on which they could give way, he said, for if they were in error, it would likely be the last error the Court of Rubies could ever make.

But unlike at previous times, Chow now hesitated.  Would the wise He Jin accept something only just short of his preference?  She deeply regretted that they could neither duplicate the Tower facility nor place it under Chinese control, but she had been newly-authorized to offer a compromise: a Chinese facility segregated within the Tower, and a Chinese Receiving Room that would feed patients directly to it.  She had to admit that these new facilities might eventually become simply for the use of all the Ten Thousand, as they joined the Treaty, and that Chinese aurors and healers might thus be assuming quite a responsibility if they agreed to this proposal, but this was the best possibility she could offer their great nation.

He Jin sat back down.  He said only that the Notables appreciated her courtesy and willingness to listen to different points of view, and that they would give her generous offer their fullest consideration.

Chow apologized once more for the lateness of the hour, praised them for their wisdom and courtesy, and thanked them for listening to her poor presentation.

She left.

The Notables conferred.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

John Snow Center for Medicine and Tower School of Doubt (The Tower)

One of the most sacred values of the Council of Westphalia was free and open debate, even to the point of officially considering whoever was holding the floor during proceedings to be literally sacrosanct.  But in the span of the last hour, Harry had seen Hig arrange to have twelve councilors detained so that they would miss an important floor vote, strong-arm elected representatives of the Magical Congress into holding an impromptu session that evening, and give specific and uncompromising orders about using some of the vast amount of illicitly-obtained letters and conversations held by Council spies.

How is it that they have embraced the Enlightenment value of free discourse so completely, but don’t give democracy or privacy a second thought?  Harry wondered.  I need to set a date to talk about this with him… it’s too useful for us, and it’s only going to get more tempting as we start working more closely together.  There will always be some pressing reason not to bring it up right that moment.  Harry looked over at the ill-favoured American with grease-licked hair and small eyes, and frowned.  Like now, for example.  I could step over there now and tell him not to use any of that to help us.

He looked to the other end of the room, where Amelia Bones was standing calmly, giving almost ceaseless direction to a pack of seven youthful wizards and witches, each of whom seemed to wordlessly know exactly who had which task.  Most of them had the distinctive, subtle look of rejuvenation: regular features, no blemishes, and unusually healthy skin.  Amelia was known to favour people who got the treatment; she said they were more energetic.  Rejuvenation had made her more vibrant, certainly… but nonetheless she was still ruthless.  She’d call him stupid for even considering giving up the advantages offered by Hig’s lack of scruples.

He sighed, and shook his head.  Another night.  Not tonight.  Too much depended on tonight, and he was really only feeling guilty because he and his cause were directly benefiting from the Westphalian abuse of their own people, and because he was paying particularly close attention to them.  They’d been reading half of Europe's and America’s correspondence yesterday, too, and the day before that.  Today wasn’t special, except that now that wrongdoing was particularly useful to the cause.  He was being stupid and short-sighted.

Need to get back on track and out of my head.  Okay… Amelia is handling allies and new propositions.  She looked to have it well in hand, and would ask if she needed guidance or help.  He’d already authorized contingent terms that envoys would be permitted to offer, if necessary.  Absurdly generous terms, in some instances.  The amounts offered to “subsidize research” in Magical New Zealand was more than their usual annual government budget.  He’d wager some eyes would be popping out of heads when that particular message was announced at the Octagon in Dunedin.

Harry himself had handled the more aggressive gestures, trying to be rude enough for a causus belli without outright taunting or stepping over the line.  They needed dramatic and decisive confrontations today, while the Independent states might still be feeling strong and united enough to push back on them.  Hig had called it the “Caesar model of management”: aggravate the enemy into precipitous action, then be outlandishly kind and merciful in the aftermath.  He’d had a strange look on his face when he’d said it.

Harry glanced over at Hig now.   He’s working on the Americas as best he can, to try to set up the snowball effect we’re seeking.  The States now, Canada next, and then… Brazil?  He’d best stay out of that, as well.  So far, Hig had needed nothing from him, but he was sure the Westphalian would feel comfortable making any requests necessary to move things along.  The American seemed entirely invested in their alliance at this point.  We were going to have him appoint an envoy, but maybe that’s not even necessary.  With portkeys, it’s not as though it would be much more inconvenient to have him work with us in person.  That sort of thing would need a mask of convenience -- “Office of the Special Liaison” or something -- but might make more sense.

I should go check on Cedric, and see how the security arrangements are coming.

“Mr. To-- Mr. Potter, sir, a message,” came a voice at his elbow.  Harry turned to find a runner waiting, message in her outthrust hand.  She was a student -- looked to be sixth or seventh year.  He took it wordlessly, and the runner left at a jog, heading out the door in the direction of Material Methods.  Relying on actual “runners” seemed asinine, but Moody had insisted; it was too easy for one spy to anonymously fake dozens of false Self-Delivering Memos, the more customary paper-airplane delivery method.

Almost at the same time, another runner appeared at the door with messages for Harry and Hig.

Harry opened up the messages.  The first one was marked as a dispatch from the Ministry of Magic from Auror Bahry.  Harry didn’t know the man, but he’d heard the name.

ATTACK ON MINISTRY.  CAPPADOCIANS.  ESTIMATE 40.  10 CASUALTIES ALREADY.  REINFORCEMENTS NEEDED.

The second message was marked as an American dispatch.  Harry didn’t recognize the name of the sender -- Alain McCaffrey -- but he supposed it was a local auror commander.

COUNCIL UNDER SIEGE BY RUSSIAN AND CAUCASUS FORCES.  DRAGONS RELEASED.  ALL IS WELL.

Hig’s must be about the same incident, since Harry could see a slight smile on the Westphalian’s face.  No time to dwell on it, though.

Harry rushed out the door, striding with quick steps towards Material Methods.  They needed a response team at the Ministry -- two of the Hit Wizard squads, perhaps.  By the time he got there, they’d probably already be deployed, but Harry could compose his diplomatic messages -- his own part in responding to these sorts of incidents -- while he walked, and it would reassure him to check up on it.

He hoped they sent someone effective.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡


The Ministry of Magic, Whitehall, London

“Take the east, sun at your backs!  Hyori, come with me!” shouted Hermione over the wind, straightening up in her seat on the broom and pointing down to the east end of the building.  The Returned split up: Susie, Urg, Esther, and Charlevoix went swooping off where she directed, while Hyori settled in tight on Hermione’s right as the Goddess directed herself to the west.

Pillars of air blasted upward around them almost immediately, as the forces of the Exarchate of Cappadocia caught sight of them from the ground below.  Hermione kicked up her broom and then dropped it down in a sharp curve, and the attacks went far astray.  From the corner of her eye, she could see Hyori was still with her, unharmed.

There were fifteen Cappadocians outside the Ministry, clumped together in groups of three.  Two of the groups had turned their attentions to Hyori and herself, but Hermione could see that the rest were still exchanging curses with two aurors who had taken shelter within a recessed brick entryway on the side of the building.  They were out of sight and obscured by dust and sparks, but she could see the occasional arm and wand pop out as they tried to fight off their nine attackers.  Two Cappadocians were down, but she didn’t see any British casualties; their Safety Sticks must have already sent them on to the Tower when they fell.

Or there was nothing left, she thought grimly.  How serious are these attacks?  Are they meant to assert “independence” and strength, or is this the first step in an attempt at armed regime change?

It had been about two seconds -- her opponents would be casting again.  “Break!” Hermione shouted, and leaned hard to the left.  Hyori swept her own broomstick to the right, and another pillar of air and four red-flickering curses ripped through the space between them.

Hermione swooped low immediately, using the roof of the city buildings surrounding the Ministry to block the line of sight of her opponents.  Their angle was poor from their position on the ground.  On the other hand, she couldn’t see them, either.  She’d have to move quickly, otherwise they’d be able to concentrate their fire on the two aurors, and they’d be inside.  She glanced down at the building below her -- an HSBC building, where she had her own Muggle accounts, and slowed her broom.  Then, with a liquid leap, she pushed herself off her broomstick.  

The fall was only twenty feet, but she still made sure to bend her knees in the air.  Otherwise, she might go right through the roof like an arrow.  She’d learned that the hard way.  Landing on her knees would mean much more surface area would absorb her impact, so she’d be less likely to punch right through.

There was a moment of weightlessness as the roof rushed up at her, and then she smashed into the roof.  But she didn’t land quite right, despite her natural grace.  She’d misjudged the angle or something, she couldn’t be sure, and the impact made her whip forward -- she smashed her face right into the slates of the roof.  She felt them crackle around her head like loose stones.

“Nngh!” she heard herself grunt, as she wrenched herself back upright.  She couldn’t see properly out of her left eye -- her vision from that eye was swerving sickeningly, and she had the uncomfortable thought that it might have come free from the socket -- and her face sizzled with pain.  But she was up and moving again in a second, running to the edge of the roof.

“Bullesco!”  she cast, and she felt the Bubblehead Charm swell from one nostril -- broken bone crackled with its passage.  Her pace didn’t even slow as she approached the roof’s edge and raised her wand, sweeping it in a short arc in front of her.  “Reducto!  Reducto!  Reducto!”

This is probably not very considerate to the Obliviators...

The roof-edge exploded in a shower of slates, stone, and cement dust, erupting out over the street.  She leapt straight into it.

...and it must be ruining my boots.

She hit the asphalt on the street below flawlessly, letting the impact rock through her and dropping into a crouch.  It was loud, too -- she could hear the boom echo off of the buildings around her.  She could hear shouting in Greek, and someone was coughing and choking.  Not everyone had reacted in time, it seemed.

The pain in Hermione’s face was fading, and her vision swam back into synchronicity as she healed.  She felt her blood sing with excitement in her veins, and found herself -- just for a moment, just for a fleeting moment that barely stung, now -- missing Granville.

Above her, she heard Hyori shout, “Stupefy!  Stupefy!”  The Returned had landed on the same roof, and was providing covering fire.  Hermione didn’t know if Hyori had hit anything, but it would force the Cappadocians to split their attention three ways.  Hermione holstered her wand, and took off at a run for the sound of the coughing, charging into the billowing white concrete dust that was drifting around them.

She found the person coughing in a moment -- a Cappadocian witch.  She was on the ground, and another one of the enemy was holding his wand to her chest -- casting Anapneo, no doubt.  A third Cappadocian wizard had his wand up and was standing in a duelist’s stance.

Hermione was only a few paces away from the trio before she saw their dark forms through the thick cloud of dust.  She didn’t bother with her wand, and didn’t slow down, bursting in on them from out of the drifting concrete powder.

“Ha!” she grunted, lashing out at the duelist with a fist.  He jerked back in surprise as she appeared, and her punch missed.  Hermione followed it with a second to his ribs, however, and that one cracked home.  She felt his side cave in beneath her clenched fist, and was already moving on to his companions before he had time to crumple to the ground.  The cougher was still wracked with spasms on the ground, but the second Cappadocian was wheeling around to aim at her with his wand.  She bent at the waist and pushed off with her right foot, bringing it spinning around even as she heard a barked curse and felt the numbing sizzle of a just-missing stunner flicker over the flesh on her bent back.  Her whirling foot lifted in a kick as she spun in a full circle, and crashed into the man’s shoulders.  He was lifted bodily, thrown to the side by the sheer force of the blow.

She called up her coin-changer from her pouch, taking a moment to thump the side of her breathing-bubble with a palm and clear away the drifting dust that was beginning to settle on it.  Ker-chak.  Ker-chak.  Ker-chak.  She sent the three Cappadocians on their way, replaced the coin-changer, and dropped into a crouch again as she assessed the situation.

“Stupefy!  Stupefy!  Stupefy!” she heard Hyori shout from above.  Some of the enemy began to return fire, casting back their own curses.  She could see the flickering red and green lights, a dozen feet away.  Hermione grinned, and reached for her pouch again.  “Gauntlet,” she said to it.

Pulling her gleaming gauntlet of gold onto her right hand, the Goddess leapt into motion.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

6:00 pm
John Snow Center for Medicine and Tower School of Doubt (The Tower)

The Ministry.  Boston.  Nurmengard.  Howard Prison.  Diagon Alley.  There were small conflicts breaking out all over.  And every single one seemed to be in control.  Harry frowned.

He’d asked Luna to clear out a section of the Vision Verge for him, so he could have a quiet corner to himself -- just for a few minutes, at least.  It hadn’t worked very well, since he’d had seven visitors in the past ten minutes, but it was less distracting.  He could focus.  He could think.

If I were Draco trying to react to this, and trying to predict what Harry would do to such a reaction, and knowing that Harry was in turn trying to predict that counter-reaction, what would I do?  Even that’s not really enough levels, given the situation, but for this purpose, it will do.

Harry will try to perceive a pattern in the attacks and use that pattern to deduce the missing information… either where I am directing a redundant attack, or launching a hidden attack, or trying to co-opt a strong position during the confusion, or trying to draw attention away.  My goals are probably to protect my own position and that of my mother, and to make this day appear to be a mixed result, allowing me to claim victory against an overwhelming force.  I want to cast doubt on the Treaty for Health and Life.  I want to persuade more states to join the Independents.

“I activate my agents in the Tower, and strike at the source.  Nothing else matters if I cast doubt on the center of my enemy’s power,” Harry said to himself, slowly.

I have been waiting for this, since I could see the writing on the wall as well as Harry.  I know he’s been going easy on me.  I have several of his agents on hand, including some double agents, and I know about some triple agents.

There was someone behind him.  Another runner.  He held up a hand in a “wait” motion -- he needed to finish this train of thought.  Then Harry clasped his hands behind his back, and devoted every fibre of his mind to thought.

I know Harry Potter very well, and I know a bit about how he thinks.  If I launch a pair of frontal and hidden attacks on the Tower, he’ll deal with the frontal and plan for the hidden.  He’s cautious.  He’s also prepared -- any simple attack is likely to fail.  I don’t want to just destroy the place, since otherwise I’d be using Safety Sticks to send in different kinds of bombs until I succeeded, but I do want to disrupt or co-opt it.

The person behind him impatiently shifted their feet, but Harry kept his mind on the task at hand.  Everything might depend on this.  This was something about which he’d often thought, but this new situation… he had to reconsider his prior conclusions.

I worshipped my father, and quote him often, including oft-repeated Malfoy family advice about the complexity of plans.  And I know Harry knows this, but that doesn’t make it any less true.  So the best way to circumvent the world’s best security and the world’s most devious spymaster is probably to simply take advantage of a known weakness, rather than try a complicated plan that attacks strength.  I will find the simplicity appealing, especially since I can imagine Harry Potter running in circles to try to invent fantastical chains of logic and predict my attack.

“Excuse me.”

Harry Potter’s weaknesses are his interpersonal skills (not as bad as before, but still not great), his arrogance, his ambition, and his sentimentality.  Possible avenues of attack at these weaknesses include using a triple agent and turning them again with more ruthless leverage than Harry will exert or drawing him into making himself vulnerable by giving him an opportunity to prove his own cleverness to himself.  On a night like tonight, I will use any and all contingencies, so maybe I will attack on both lines.

“I said, excuse me.”

Knowing my own weaknesses, I will also try to compensate for them in a manner that cannot be countered.  Maybe an element of randomness in my planning… using dice or--

“Turn around.”  The words were a growl, and Harry was startled out of his train of thought, and he finally processed the voice.

“What is it?” he asked, turning around.  He kept his hands clasped behind his back, lifting the right one enough to reach the wand in the dueling holster of his sleeve.

“Hello there, Mr. Potter,” said Amycus Carrow.  Lawrence Bradwian and Annabeth Dakesang stood in front of him.  Lawrence’s eyes were rimmed with red, and Annabeth was shivering.

“Ah.  Yes,” said Harry.  “Hello.”


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

7:00 pm
Remote Cautionary Platform, Antarctica

“You’re in service to the new Dark Lord… only this one will see all of our wands broken in our hands, and the Muggles in charge!” spat Scarlett Meroveni-Bowles.  Her hair was usually frizzy, but the air here was so dry that it had begun to look like a furry helmet.  It made her rhetoric less impressive than it might have been otherwise.  She gave the silver sphere of a spaceship a savage kick, trying to dislodge it, but it had no more effect than her curses had produced.

“My hovercraft is full of eels!” called back Neville Longbottom, helpfully, from his position behind a metal cabinet.  The cabinet was scorched, and much of the Lovegood Leaf draped on it to protect the equipment on its shelves had been burnt away.

“What does that mean?!” shrieked the witch.  She leapt out from behind the spaceship and spat a curse, obliterating the top of the cabinet with a geyser of silvery fire.

“Expelliarmus.” said a voice from nowhere behind Scarlett, and the witch’s wand leapt from her hand into the air.  “It means he is very, very annoying,” said the voice in a Russian accent.  “Stupefy.”

Scarlett toppled over, and the youthful figure of Ilya Bogdanova appeared, as though she were stepping from behind a curtain.  She walked to where Scarlett’s wand had fallen, and picked it up.

“You’ll hurt my feelings one day, Ilya,” said Neville, stepping gingerly out from behind the smoking ruins of the cabinet.

“Why are we here?” said the Russian witch, ignoring him.  “No, why are they here?”

“This is where they have the Vanishing Cabinet for the Monroe, and this spaceship, and the prototype pocket world,” said Neville.  The pair headed for the door out of Chamber 1 to the hall, wands raised and eyes alert as they spoke.  “It’s all really valuable, and it would be embarrassing if someone else got ahold of it.”

“Do not be stupid, Neville,” said Ilya, brusquely.  “I mean that it is foolish to attack here.  It is much easier for us to bring people here, and we have much greater resources.  Unless they were to bring dozens and overwhelm the defence immediately, then they only guarantee their loss.  Instead, ten British Honourable and four or five idiot Russians who never stepped toe in Durmstrang.  It is easy for us to come and defeat them.  So: why?”

“Maybe something got lost in translation,” said Neville, and Ilya sighed heavily.

They walked down the hall, footsteps ringing on the metal floor, Neville in the lead.  The Remote Cautionary Platform was a vast facility, and crude as wizards accounted it.  There were no extended spaces or other tricks: it was simply a series of connected metal boxes, transported by mundane means and sealed together by VeriWeld.  Heating and other comforts were left to the occupants during their stay, and only in recent weeks had more permanent facilities been set up.  The purposes of the Tower had required more complex instruments than the vast circles drawn to the thickness of a child’s hair that were incised into the floors of the Platform’s chambers.  Shooting radiation at things was a complicated and equipment-heavy business, after all.

There was a deafening clang of impact, and Neville and Ilya almost lost their footing on the icy metal beneath their feet.  Something had struck the corridor a terrific blow from outside, leaving a dent in the wall ahead of them the size of a Bludger.

Ilya wasted no time in scooping out her invisibility cloak and throwing it over herself, while Neville backpedaled and reached for the bubbler in the front pocket of his trousers.

He pulled it open.  “Fred Weasley.”

There was a moment’s delay while the bubbler alerted Fred, and Neville waited.  He backed up a few more paces, and almost slipped again when another deafening clang smashed into the corridor from above.  The entire roof was buckling.

“Hullo,” said Fred cheerily from the mirror in Neville’s hand.

“Problem down by one, Fred,” whispered Neville, creeping backwards away from the points of impact.

“There sure is,” agreed the red-haired man, just as cheerily.

“You’re out there, aren’t you?”

“We sure are,” said Fred, and the connection broke.  Neville shoved it in his pocket and turned to face the wall.

“I’ll be out to the right,” said Ilya from behind him.

That meant she would get clear and flank the enemy.  While a competent fighter, Ilya preferred indirect confrontation.

“Bouncy bouncy,” said Neville, happily.  “Confringo!”

A wad of fire spat from his wand and hit the metal of the wall, flaring wide as it impacted.  It ate through the metal, which reddened and sagged and vanished under the punishment, but the immediate blast of arctic air -- Neville immediately felt his flesh burning with cold, even with his Warming Charms -- soon stole away the heat.

Not as dramatic as he would have liked.  He shook his head and raised his wand.

A third immense blow struck the corridor, followed by an angry roar so powerful that it made the metal beneath them vibrate.  Neville’s eyes widened.

“Oh, bugger.”

“What?” said the invisible Ilya.

“Hebridean Black.”

“Of the House of Black?”

“No, of the time to run away.”

There was another roar, and with a shriek of tearing metal four claws, like silvered spear-tips, ripped through the roof above them.

“Confringo!” said Neville, and the resulting fire burned away the remainder of the corridor.  He leapt out through the smoking hole.  A dragon regarded him with eyes like angry purple embers.

The Hebridean Black can grow up to thirty feet in length, with a mass of up to eight tons.  It is covered in layers of dark-gleaming scales, and an adult is typically heavily muscled.  They are aggressive, and grown males engage in frequent combat displays to show dominance.  Their breath is fire.  Their temper is short.  Their appetite is huge.

Fred and George were mounted on their brooms, fighting the thick snow and howling winds that eternally scoured the ice of this Antarctic plain.  George shouted something, but the words were torn away from him.

“Stupefy!” cast Neville, once he’d overcome the shock of being confronted with one of the most magnificently lethal creatures on the planet.  “Stupefy!  Stupefy!”  The spell stood no chance of working, but the dragon did react, rearing back from him and shaking its head rapidly.  It was probably more annoyance than anything else, but Neville didn’t have any better ideas.

Stunners wouldn’t work, fire wouldn’t work, suffocation wouldn’t work… even the more directly damaging hexes just wouldn’t have much of a result on something of this size -- and that was assuming they didn’t simply bounce off.

He took off at a run.  He’d need to Disillusion himself, at least, to stay safe while he--

Neville lost track of his plan as he was scooped up neatly from the ground by a flying Weasley.  George had simply flown right into him, directing his broom right between Neville’s legs.  And there was a dragon attacking and a blizzard going on.  He’d owe George a pint.  Maybe two.

“Thanks!” he shouted, turning slightly in his seat and clutching the broomstick with his free hand.

George shouted something, but his words were lost again.  Neville shook his head -- or tried to, since George banked hard to the right, and Neville had to concentrate on holding on as a wash of flame blew past them.  The dragon roared again.  Wait, how had it gotten ahead of them?

George leaned forward as they straightened out, and shouted right into Neville’s ear.  “There’s two of them!”

“That’s just silly!” shouted back Neville.

The other dragon was in flight, and Neville could see it as a great dark shape ahead of them.  It was as big as a house, only a house that could fly and wanted to eat you.

“You’re silly!” shouted Neville, at the dragon now.  It roared so loudly that his teeth hurt, and the broom swerved momentarily as George reacted.

Looking behind him, Neville could see the other dragon was chasing Fred.  The other twin was pulling tight turns at a high speed, trying to out-maneuver the creature, but it was too agile.  It was only a matter of time before it landed a lucky swipe of its claws or hit the wizard with a blast of flames.  Seeming to sense this, Fred pulled an abrupt loop, and then brought his broom down and shot through the hole Neville had burned in the wall of the Platform corridor.

George and Neville’s own dragon beat heavy wings and swooped down at them, and George leaned forward and pulled his own tight turn, seemingly unaware that this hadn’t worked for his brother and certainly wouldn’t work for a broom with twice as much weight on it.  Neville yelled something that even he knew was incoherent, and jabbed a hand at the hole into the Platform, looking back at George.  The Weasley nodded, and they shot towards the hole, banking right and left as flames erupted past and over them.

Their entrance was at too high of a speed to stop inside, and they hit the interior and opposite wall of the corridor with a heavy thud.  Neville lost his grip on the broom beneath him and went pinwheeling away, hitting the floor and sliding along the ice-rimed surface for a few feet.  George was more fortunate, and when he bounced off of the wall, he fell into the pile of snow that had been accumulating in the minute or so that the hole had been open.

Neville was just barely getting his wits about him when the corridor shuddered under impact, claws stabbing through the roof repeatedly as the dragon tried to find its footing on the roof.  Fred appeared from somewhere, and was dragging Neville to his feet.

“What do you do with that?  Does anyone remember?  Is this the one you use acid on?” said Fred as he hauled Neville upright by one arm.

“No, that’s the Chinese one,” said George.

“Is there any reason we need to fight them?” asked Neville.  “If there are no wizards around, then won’t they just… fly away?  They’re not going to steal anything important.  Let’s just--”

The roof folded and tore as the dragon ripped at it, and a great tear appeared in the metal.  The dragon’s head appeared in the gap.  It roared, and opened its mouth, eyes glowing a hellish purple.

“Avada Kedavra,” said Ilya.  A bolt of green shot from her invisible wand and hit the dragon in the face.  The light of its eyes died in that instant, and the creature’s face vanished from view.  There was a screech of metal and a tremendous thud as it fell to the ground outside.

The three wizards were silent, huddled together for a moment.  Then they separated, dusting snow off of themselves.

“Yes, well--” said George

“--we could have done that,” finished Fred.

“And there’s another one,” added Neville.

“It will soon be,” said the invisible Ilya primly, “pining for the fjords.”  She stepped outside.  A few seconds later, they heard another thud, even over the roar of the wind.


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡


The Ministry of Magic, Whitehall, London

Ker-chak.  Ker-chak.  Ker-chak.

Hermione stepped over a burning tire, and put the coin-changer away.  She knew she should be tired -- at least emotionally, if not physically -- but things had gone too well.  There were at least thirty prisoners, and Tonks had bubbled her that things had been going equally well everywhere else, too.  Today might be a clean sweep without a single loss, as hard as that was to believe.

She heard a bubbling sound in her head, and smiled.  She pulled out the bubbler again.  “I was just thinking of you,” she said to Tonks.

Tonks’ hair had gone all black.  “You need to come back.  There’s been a change.  There’s been a truce.”


≡≡≡Ω≡≡≡

8:00 pm
North Tower, Hogwarts School for Witchcraft and Wizardry, Scotland

Professor Pierre Placela shook his head ruefully, and drew a thick black line through another item on the list with his felt pen.  These results were disconcerting, especially after the months he’d wasted on ichnomancy.  He shuffled the deck, and got ready to try again.

No, wait… better switch to one of the other decks.  He had Trelawney’s letter around here, somewhere, and he was sure it said something about “aura contamination.”  He didn’t remember that from the Divination N.E.W.T., but in fairness, that had been years ago.  He slid the first deck to one side, and pulled out a fresh one from next to it.

It was common knowledge that any method of divination needed to be consistent to a minimum degree for it to be useful, and he was becoming increasingly unsure that cartomancy was going to be able to muster up the necessary p-levels.  He’d laid out the Celtic Cross spread twenty times now, and there hadn’t been any more common outcomes than chance would predict.  Either he was a lousy cartomancer, or his own future was beyond his reach, or something else was interfering.

Twenty trials: time to switch methodology by one factor.  It was a quick and dirty way to investigate, but time was pressing… it wouldn’t be too long before other diviners began adopting the new methods, especially since Pierre had been asked to work up a prospective introductory course of study for the Salem Witches Institute.

He’d draw for someone famous this time.

He shuffled again, lay the deck down, and closed his eyes.  He placed his fingertips on the deck, and concentrated.  Face, name, and identity… face, name, and identity… face, name and identity.

When he was ready, he opened his eyes again, and shuffled a third time.  Then he lay out the ten cards.

The Ace of Wands.  The Moon.  The Hanged Man.  The Ten of Swords.  The Ace of Wands.  Death.  The Five of Cups.  The Tower.  The Tower.  The Tower.

He frowned.  Oh, Merlin’s beard… he’d accidentally mixed his decks together at some point.  Stupid and sloppy, and it cast all of his trials into doubt.  He’d have to sort them all out again and start all over.

Professor Placela shook his head, sighed, and swept the layout into a heap.












The noble horse with courage in his eye,
clean in the bone, looks up at a shellburst:
away fly the images of the shires
but he puts the pipe back in his mouth.
Peter was unfortunately killed by an 88;
it took his leg away, he died in the ambulance.
I saw him crawling on the sand, he said
It's most unfair, they've shot my foot off.

How can I live among this gentle
obsolescent breed of heroes, and not weep?
Unicorns, almost,
for they are fading into two legends
in which their stupidity and chivalry
are celebrated. Each, fool and hero, will be an immortal.
These plains were their cricket pitch
and in the mountains the tremendous drop fences
brought down some of the runners. Here then
under the stones and earth they dispose themselves,
I think with their famous unconcern.
It is not gunfire I hear, but a hunting horn.
-Keith Douglas